Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.213533 0.248370 0.289070 0.340636 0.404952 0.483502 0.588237
2025-02-16 0.161659 0.205042 0.262090 0.344714 0.465081 0.640530 0.929068
2025-02-23 0.131602 0.177431 0.243087 0.348426 0.522560 0.818883 1.415044
2025-03-02 0.111680 0.157636 0.227943 0.350358 0.575402 1.015330 2.093481
2025-03-09 0.096855 0.141677 0.213906 0.348372 0.619037 1.218776 3.003857
2025-03-16 0.084849 0.127649 0.199535 0.340904 0.648242 1.409904 4.147968
2025-03-23 0.078080 0.120853 0.195812 0.351974 0.721153 1.761238 6.501056
2025-03-30 0.070232 0.110947 0.184529 0.344520 0.747804 2.007329 9.088875
2025-04-06 0.065191 0.105206 0.179916 0.350019 0.810408 2.431395 14.380271
2025-04-13 0.059882 0.098256 0.171754 0.345367 0.843509 2.787992 21.397869
2025-04-20 0.056374 0.094189 0.168680 0.352030 0.914629 3.401622 37.474107
2025-04-27 0.053644 0.091250 0.167433 0.362968 1.006637 4.272066 75.953699
2025-05-04 0.050846 0.087927 0.165026 0.370890 1.096472 5.339103 175.673804
2025-05-11 0.048506 0.085266 0.163711 0.381779 1.207529 6.867111 567.622461
2025-05-18 0.046094 0.082187 0.160983 0.388017 1.306107 8.656966 2762.501327
2025-05-25 0.043728 0.078947 0.157405 0.390859 1.393922 10.753250 42154.157625
2025-06-01 0.041332 0.075408 0.152616 0.388755 1.458587 12.967386 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038847 0.071449 0.146296 0.380193 1.485721 14.896022 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037607 0.070083 0.146266 0.392991 1.646198 20.566174 NaN
2025-06-22 0.035515 0.066647 0.140517 0.384388 1.673182 23.818711 NaN
2025-06-29 0.034228 0.064905 0.138968 0.390739 1.806091 32.001454 NaN
2025-07-06 0.032577 0.062201 0.134548 0.385367 1.856373 38.686582 NaN
2025-07-13 0.031541 0.060829 0.133554 0.393063 2.015004 54.754688 NaN